Sao Goncalo U20 vs Olaria RJ U20

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.6 pp

Sao Goncalo U20

Olaria RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.4% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 44.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% 2.55 DRAW 27.3% 3.30 AWAY 37.5% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Olaria RJ U20 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.1% win probability, compared with 37.5% implied by the market. The 6.6 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Olaria RJ U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sao Goncalo U20 Olaria RJ U20

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Olaria RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sao Goncalo U20 Olaria RJ U20

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Olaria RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sao Goncalo U20 Olaria RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Olaria RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sao Goncalo U20 = (0.0%)

Olaria RJ U20 ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.