Perolas Negras U20 vs Audax RJ U20

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +6.0 pp

Perolas Negras U20

Audax RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 33.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.08 DRAW 28.5% 3.20 AWAY 27.6% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Audax RJ U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.6% win probability, compared with 27.6% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Audax RJ U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Perolas Negras U20 Audax RJ U20

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Audax RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Perolas Negras U20 Audax RJ U20

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Audax RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Perolas Negras U20 Audax RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Audax RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Perolas Negras U20 ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Audax RJ U20 ↑ +0.05 (+1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.