RWD Molenbeek vs Union Rochefortoise

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

RWD Molenbeek

Union Rochefortoise

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% 2.19 DRAW 24.1% 4.00 AWAY 31.9% 3.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Union Rochefortoise relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.0% win probability, compared with 31.9% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Union Rochefortoise

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

RWD Molenbeek Union Rochefortoise

Shots 4.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Union Rochefortoise, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RWD Molenbeek Union Rochefortoise

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8

RWD Molenbeek has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RWD Molenbeek Union Rochefortoise

The combined recent performance profile favours Union Rochefortoise.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

RWD Molenbeek ↓ -0.46 (-17.4%)

Union Rochefortoise ↑ +0.77 (+34.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.