FC Elva vs JK Tallinna Kalev

24 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

FC Elva

JK Tallinna Kalev

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 41.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 2.87 DRAW 26.5% 3.50 AWAY 41.2% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Tallinna Kalev

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Elva JK Tallinna Kalev

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours JK Tallinna Kalev, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Elva JK Tallinna Kalev

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 8.8

FC Elva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Elva JK Tallinna Kalev

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Elva ↑ +0.67 (+30.6%)

JK Tallinna Kalev ↓ -0.25 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.