RoPS vs SalPa

26 Sep 2026 · 17:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

RoPS

SalPa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 33.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.16 DRAW 24.0% 3.95 AWAY 32.1% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

SalPa has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

RoPS SalPa

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours SalPa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RoPS SalPa

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RoPS SalPa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

RoPS ↑ +0.30 (+16.1%)

SalPa ↓ -0.25 (-7.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.