Gimnasia LP Reserves vs Estudiantes LP Reserves

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Gimnasia LP Reserves

Estudiantes LP Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 33.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% 2.60 DRAW 30.3% 3.10 AWAY 33.6% 2.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gimnasia LP Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gimnasia LP Reserves Estudiantes LP Reserves

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Gimnasia LP Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gimnasia LP Reserves Estudiantes LP Reserves

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Estudiantes LP Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gimnasia LP Reserves Estudiantes LP Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gimnasia LP Reserves ↓ -0.10 (-3.7%)

Estudiantes LP Reserves ↑ +0.39 (+16.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.