San Martin de San Juan Reserves vs Lanus Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

San Martin de San Juan Reserves

Lanus Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.1% DRAW 16.6% AWAY 71.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.4% 6.75 DRAW 18.5% 5.23 AWAY 67.1% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Lanus Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.3% win probability, compared with 67.1% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Lanus Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Martin de San Juan Reserves Lanus Reserves

Shots 7.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Lanus Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Martin de San Juan Reserves Lanus Reserves

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Lanus Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Martin de San Juan Reserves Lanus Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Lanus Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Martin de San Juan Reserves ↑ +0.95 (+16.4%)

Lanus Reserves ↑ +0.06 (+4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.