Rosario Central Reserves vs Union Santa Fe Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Rosario Central Reserves

Union Santa Fe Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.1% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 2.10 DRAW 27.3% 3.54 AWAY 26.9% 3.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rosario Central Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rosario Central Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

Shots 16.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Rosario Central Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rosario Central Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Union Santa Fe Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rosario Central Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rosario Central Reserves ↑ +0.20 (+10.6%)

Union Santa Fe Reserves ↑ +0.23 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.