Lanus Reserves vs Banfield Reserves

23 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Lanus Reserves

Banfield Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.0% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.5% 1.70 DRAW 23.7% 3.90 AWAY 21.8% 4.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Lanus Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.0% win probability, compared with 54.5% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lanus Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lanus Reserves Banfield Reserves

Shots 13.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Lanus Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lanus Reserves Banfield Reserves

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lanus Reserves Banfield Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Lanus Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lanus Reserves ↑ +0.07 (+4.2%)

Banfield Reserves ↓ -1.00 (-19.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.