CA Aldosivi Reserves vs Quilmes Reserves

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

CA Aldosivi Reserves

Quilmes Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 38.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% 2.90 DRAW 29.2% 3.27 AWAY 37.8% 2.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Aldosivi Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Aldosivi Reserves Quilmes Reserves

Shots 10.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Aldosivi Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Aldosivi Reserves Quilmes Reserves

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Quilmes Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Aldosivi Reserves Quilmes Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CA Aldosivi Reserves ↓ -0.20 (-6.5%)

Quilmes Reserves ↑ +0.38 (+17.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.