Colon Reserves vs Deportivo Riestra Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Colon Reserves

Deportivo Riestra Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 39.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% 3.25 DRAW 29.8% 3.48 AWAY 38.3% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Riestra Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colon Reserves Deportivo Riestra Reserves

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colon Reserves Deportivo Riestra Reserves

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Deportivo Riestra Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colon Reserves Deportivo Riestra Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Riestra Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Colon Reserves ↑ +0.87 (+36.3%)

Deportivo Riestra Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.