Independiente Rivadavia Reserves vs Belgrano Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Independiente Rivadavia Reserves

Belgrano Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% 2.86 DRAW 26.6% 3.62 AWAY 39.8% 2.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Belgrano Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Independiente Rivadavia Reserves Belgrano Reserves

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Independiente Rivadavia Reserves Belgrano Reserves

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Belgrano Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Independiente Rivadavia Reserves Belgrano Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Independiente Rivadavia Reserves ↑ +0.11 (+4.0%)

Belgrano Reserves ↑ +0.14 (+6.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.