San Lorenzo Reserves vs CA Aldosivi Reserves

29 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

San Lorenzo Reserves

CA Aldosivi Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.1% 2.10 DRAW 25.0% 4.22 AWAY 24.9% 4.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Aldosivi Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Lorenzo Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours CA Aldosivi Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Lorenzo Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.5

San Lorenzo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Lorenzo Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Lorenzo Reserves ↑ +0.24 (+12.9%)

CA Aldosivi Reserves ↑ +0.64 (+17.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.