Deportivo Riestra Reserves vs Barracas Central Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Deportivo Riestra Reserves

Barracas Central Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.5% 1.95 DRAW 29.0% 3.20 AWAY 23.6% 3.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Riestra Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Riestra Reserves Barracas Central Reserves

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Riestra Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Riestra Reserves Barracas Central Reserves

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Barracas Central Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Riestra Reserves Barracas Central Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo Riestra Reserves ↓ -0.28 (-12.5%)

Barracas Central Reserves ↑ +1.14 (+40.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.