Argentinos Jrs Reserves vs Platense Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Argentinos Jrs Reserves

Platense Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 1.90 DRAW 29.1% 3.20 AWAY 21.8% 4.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Argentinos Jrs Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Argentinos Jrs Reserves Platense Reserves

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 5.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Argentinos Jrs Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Argentinos Jrs Reserves Platense Reserves

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Platense Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Argentinos Jrs Reserves Platense Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Argentinos Jrs Reserves = (0.0%)

Platense Reserves ↑ +0.67 (+18.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.