Atletico Rafaela Reserves vs Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves

29 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Atletico Rafaela Reserves

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% 2.12 DRAW 25.8% 3.82 AWAY 27.6% 3.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Rafaela Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Rafaela Reserves Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Rafaela Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Rafaela Reserves Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Rafaela Reserves Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Atletico Rafaela Reserves ↓ -0.04 (-1.9%)

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves ↑ +0.83 (+30.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.