Roasso Kumamoto vs Kawasaki Frontale

29 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Roasso Kumamoto

Kawasaki Frontale

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.3% DRAW 16.8% AWAY 71.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.7% 7.95 DRAW 17.7% 5.25 AWAY 70.5% 1.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kawasaki Frontale

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Roasso Kumamoto Kawasaki Frontale

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 19.0 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Kawasaki Frontale, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Roasso Kumamoto Kawasaki Frontale

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Roasso Kumamoto Kawasaki Frontale

The combined recent performance profile favours Kawasaki Frontale.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Roasso Kumamoto ↑ +1.20 (+17.8%)

Kawasaki Frontale ↑ +0.03 (+2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.