Zweigen Kanazawa vs Shimizu S-Pulse

29 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Zweigen Kanazawa

Shimizu S-Pulse

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.3% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 46.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.9% 3.94 DRAW 25.6% 3.67 AWAY 50.5% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Zweigen Kanazawa relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.3% win probability, compared with 23.9% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Zweigen Kanazawa

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zweigen Kanazawa Shimizu S-Pulse

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zweigen Kanazawa Shimizu S-Pulse

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Zweigen Kanazawa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zweigen Kanazawa Shimizu S-Pulse

The combined recent performance profile favours Zweigen Kanazawa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Zweigen Kanazawa ↑ +0.44 (+12.6%)

Shimizu S-Pulse ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.