Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama

29 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Fagiano Okayama

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 59.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.3% 5.19 DRAW 21.3% 4.45 AWAY 60.4% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fagiano Okayama

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Fagiano Okayama

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Fagiano Okayama

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Fagiano Okayama

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo ↑ +0.19 (+3.8%)

Fagiano Okayama ↑ +0.06 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.