HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Matagalpa FC

20 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

HYH Export Sebaco FC

Matagalpa FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% 2.13 DRAW 27.4% 3.43 AWAY 28.5% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: HYH Export Sebaco FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

HYH Export Sebaco FC Matagalpa FC

Shots 14.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours HYH Export Sebaco FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HYH Export Sebaco FC Matagalpa FC

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Matagalpa FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HYH Export Sebaco FC Matagalpa FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

HYH Export Sebaco FC ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

Matagalpa FC ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.