CD Antofagasta vs Deportes Iquique

27 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

CD Antofagasta

Deportes Iquique

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 21.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% 1.94 DRAW 26.5% 3.60 AWAY 24.3% 3.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Antofagasta relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.7% win probability, compared with 49.2% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CD Antofagasta has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Antofagasta Deportes Iquique

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours CD Antofagasta, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Antofagasta Deportes Iquique

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Antofagasta Deportes Iquique

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Antofagasta.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Antofagasta ↓ -0.28 (-12.6%)

Deportes Iquique ↑ +0.84 (+27.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.