Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

28 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% 1.74 DRAW 24.2% 3.80 AWAY 23.0% 3.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hapoel Kfar Shalem ↓ -0.19 (-9.8%)

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa ↑ +1.04 (+35.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.