Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs SC Kfar Qasim

28 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

SC Kfar Qasim

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 31.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% 2.41 DRAW 28.6% 3.25 AWAY 32.8% 2.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Maccabi Kiryat Gat

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Kiryat Gat SC Kfar Qasim

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Kiryat Gat SC Kfar Qasim

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Kiryat Gat SC Kfar Qasim

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Maccabi Kiryat Gat ↑ +0.31 (+14.8%)

SC Kfar Qasim ↓ -0.17 (-5.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.