Racing Club vs Boca Juniors

27 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Racing Club

Boca Juniors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.1% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 49.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.7% 5.00 DRAW 29.8% 3.30 AWAY 50.5% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Racing Club

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Racing Club Boca Juniors

Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Racing Club, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Racing Club Boca Juniors

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Boca Juniors has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Racing Club Boca Juniors

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Racing Club ↑ +1.39 (+38.3%)

Boca Juniors ↓ -0.24 (-10.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.