Sporting (W) vs Brondby (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +7.9 pp

Sporting (W)

Brondby (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 33.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% 1.85 DRAW 22.5% 4.26 AWAY 25.9% 3.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Brondby (W) substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.8% win probability, compared with 25.9% implied by the market. The 7.9 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Brondby (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting (W) Brondby (W)

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 18.8 · On target 10.5

Recent attacking output favours Brondby (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting (W) Brondby (W)

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Brondby (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting (W) Brondby (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Brondby (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sporting (W) ↑ +0.24 (+14.8%)

Brondby (W) ↓ -0.30 (-7.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.