Brondby (W) vs Sporting (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Brondby (W)

Sporting (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 39.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 3.05 DRAW 27.0% 3.50 AWAY 42.0% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Brondby (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.0% win probability, compared with 31.0% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Brondby (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brondby (W) Sporting (W)

Shots 14.8 · On target 9.8 Shots 16.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brondby (W) Sporting (W)

Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Brondby (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brondby (W) Sporting (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Brondby (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Brondby (W) ↑ +0.75 (+32.6%)

Sporting (W) ↓ -0.30 (-11.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.