Fenerbahce (W) vs FK Minsk (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Fenerbahce (W)

FK Minsk (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.5% DRAW 12.0% AWAY 6.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 82.0% 1.18 DRAW 12.3% 7.90 AWAY 5.7% 17.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fenerbahce (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fenerbahce (W) FK Minsk (W)

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fenerbahce (W) FK Minsk (W)

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.8

FK Minsk (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fenerbahce (W) FK Minsk (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Minsk (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fenerbahce (W) ↑ +0.08 (+7.4%)

FK Minsk (W) ↑ +2.00 (+13.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.