Real Sociedad (W) vs Hearts (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Real Sociedad (W)

Hearts (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 91.6% DRAW 6.4% AWAY 2.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 90.8% 1.06 DRAW 7.1% 13.50 AWAY 2.1% 46.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Real Sociedad (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Sociedad (W) Hearts (W)

Shots 17.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Real Sociedad (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Sociedad (W) Hearts (W)

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Sociedad (W) Hearts (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Real Sociedad (W) ↓ -0.14 (-11.5%)

Hearts (W) ↑ +37.00 (+411.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.