Rangers (W) vs Hammarby (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Rangers (W)

Hammarby (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.9% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 52.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.4% 3.91 DRAW 24.5% 3.89 AWAY 51.1% 1.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hammarby (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rangers (W) Hammarby (W)

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Hammarby (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rangers (W) Hammarby (W)

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Hammarby (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rangers (W) Hammarby (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Hammarby (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Rangers (W) ↑ +0.81 (+26.0%)

Hammarby (W) ↓ -0.13 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.