Madureira RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ

23 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Madureira RJ

Sampaio Correa RJ

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 34.0% AWAY 31.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% 2.61 DRAW 33.1% 2.90 AWAY 30.0% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Sampaio Correa RJ has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Madureira RJ Sampaio Correa RJ

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Sampaio Correa RJ, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Madureira RJ Sampaio Correa RJ

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Sampaio Correa RJ has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Madureira RJ Sampaio Correa RJ

The combined recent performance profile favours Sampaio Correa RJ.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Madureira RJ ↑ +0.46 (+21.4%)

Sampaio Correa RJ ↑ +0.20 (+6.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.