Chelsea (W) vs FK Austria Vienna (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Chelsea (W)

FK Austria Vienna (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 93.0% DRAW 4.8% AWAY 2.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 93.1% 1.03 DRAW 5.1% 19.00 AWAY 1.9% 51.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FK Austria Vienna (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chelsea (W) FK Austria Vienna (W)

Shots 18.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 21.3 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chelsea (W) FK Austria Vienna (W)

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5

FK Austria Vienna (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chelsea (W) FK Austria Vienna (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Chelsea (W) ↑ +0.00 (+0.3%)

FK Austria Vienna (W) ↓ -49.00 (-49.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.