HB Koge (W) vs Servette FC Chenois (W)

01 Oct 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.0 pp

HB Koge (W)

Servette FC Chenois (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.6% DRAW 14.5% AWAY 7.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.6% 1.33 DRAW 16.6% 5.90 AWAY 9.8% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates HB Koge (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.6% win probability, compared with 73.6% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

HB Koge (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

HB Koge (W) Servette FC Chenois (W)

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 3.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours HB Koge (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HB Koge (W) Servette FC Chenois (W)

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HB Koge (W) Servette FC Chenois (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours HB Koge (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

HB Koge (W) ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

Servette FC Chenois (W) ↑ +3.72 (+59.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.