Servette FC Chenois (W) vs Lyon (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Servette FC Chenois (W)

Lyon (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 1.6% DRAW 3.7% AWAY 94.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.9% 51.00 DRAW 4.5% 21.00 AWAY 93.6% 1.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lyon (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Servette FC Chenois (W) Lyon (W)

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 24.3 · On target 10.3

Recent attacking output favours Lyon (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Servette FC Chenois (W) Lyon (W)

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Servette FC Chenois (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Servette FC Chenois (W) Lyon (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Lyon (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Servette FC Chenois (W) ↓ -16.00 (-23.9%)

Lyon (W) ↑ +0.00 (+0.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.