FK Austria Vienna (W) vs Inter Milan (W)

01 Oct 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.1 pp

FK Austria Vienna (W)

Inter Milan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 50.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% 5.10 DRAW 23.2% 4.28 AWAY 57.3% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Austria Vienna (W) substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.5% win probability, compared with 19.5% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Austria Vienna (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Austria Vienna (W) Inter Milan (W)

Shots 22.5 · On target 10.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Austria Vienna (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Austria Vienna (W) Inter Milan (W)

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

FK Austria Vienna (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Austria Vienna (W) Inter Milan (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Austria Vienna (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Austria Vienna (W) ↑ +0.48 (+10.5%)

Inter Milan (W) ↑ +0.15 (+9.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.