OH Leuven (W) vs Roma (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

OH Leuven (W)

Roma (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 55.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.1% 4.50 DRAW 22.5% 4.21 AWAY 56.4% 1.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Roma (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

OH Leuven (W) Roma (W)

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 16.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Roma (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

OH Leuven (W) Roma (W)

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.0

OH Leuven (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

OH Leuven (W) Roma (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

OH Leuven (W) ↑ +1.20 (+36.4%)

Roma (W) ↓ -0.21 (-11.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.