Comoros vs Namibia

29 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Comoros

Namibia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 21.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% 1.86 DRAW 28.4% 3.40 AWAY 19.9% 4.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Namibia has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Comoros Namibia

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Comoros Namibia

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Namibia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Comoros Namibia

The combined recent performance profile favours Namibia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Comoros ↑ +0.09 (+5.2%)

Namibia ↑ +0.58 (+13.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.