Mauritania vs Central African Rep

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Mauritania

Central African Rep

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 17.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.74 DRAW 27.9% 3.38 AWAY 17.9% 5.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mauritania

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mauritania Central African Rep

Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Mauritania, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mauritania Central African Rep

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mauritania Central African Rep

The combined recent performance profile favours Mauritania.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mauritania ↑ +0.09 (+5.2%)

Central African Rep ↑ +0.49 (+10.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.