Zimbabwe vs Congo DR

28 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Zimbabwe

Congo DR

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.5% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 49.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.7% 5.25 DRAW 28.9% 3.40 AWAY 52.4% 1.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Congo DR

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zimbabwe Congo DR

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Congo DR, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zimbabwe Congo DR

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Zimbabwe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zimbabwe Congo DR

The combined recent performance profile favours Zimbabwe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zimbabwe ↑ +1.59 (+43.4%)

Congo DR ↓ -0.06 (-3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.