Somalia vs Ivory Coast

29 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Somalia

Ivory Coast

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 3.4% DRAW 7.3% AWAY 89.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 2.8% 34.43 DRAW 7.2% 13.29 AWAY 90.0% 1.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ivory Coast

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Somalia Ivory Coast

Shots 2.8 · On target 0.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Ivory Coast, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Somalia Ivory Coast

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Somalia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Somalia Ivory Coast

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Somalia ↑ +17.43 (+102.5%)

Ivory Coast ↑ +0.06 (+6.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.