South Sudan vs Egypt

29 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

South Sudan

Egypt

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.2% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 77.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.6% 17.00 DRAW 15.8% 6.00 AWAY 78.6% 1.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Egypt

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Sudan Egypt

Shots 4.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Egypt, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Sudan Egypt

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.3

South Sudan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Sudan Egypt

The combined recent performance profile favours Egypt.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

South Sudan ↑ +2.50 (+17.2%)

Egypt ↑ +0.09 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.