Union San Felipe vs Deportes Copiapo

26 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Union San Felipe

Deportes Copiapo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% DRAW 30.3% AWAY 38.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% 2.90 DRAW 30.1% 3.10 AWAY 37.7% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Union San Felipe

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union San Felipe Deportes Copiapo

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union San Felipe Deportes Copiapo

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Deportes Copiapo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union San Felipe Deportes Copiapo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Union San Felipe ↑ +0.10 (+3.6%)

Deportes Copiapo ↑ +0.06 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.