Aimore RS vs CE Bento Goncalves

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Aimore RS

CE Bento Goncalves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 20.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 2.12 DRAW 31.2% 3.20 AWAY 21.7% 4.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CE Bento Goncalves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aimore RS CE Bento Goncalves

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aimore RS CE Bento Goncalves

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Aimore RS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aimore RS CE Bento Goncalves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Aimore RS = (0.0%)

CE Bento Goncalves ↑ +1.39 (+43.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.