Maccabi Ironi Sderot vs Hapoel Azor

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Maccabi Ironi Sderot

Hapoel Azor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.2% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 2.09 DRAW 26.2% 3.64 AWAY 28.0% 3.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Maccabi Ironi Sderot

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Ironi Sderot Hapoel Azor

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Ironi Sderot Hapoel Azor

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Maccabi Ironi Sderot has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Ironi Sderot Hapoel Azor

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Ironi Sderot.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Ironi Sderot ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

Hapoel Azor ↑ +0.03 (+0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.