Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Sport Club Dimona

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.9 pp

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Sport Club Dimona

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.0% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 57.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.2% 4.10 DRAW 25.1% 3.80 AWAY 51.7% 1.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sport Club Dimona clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.6% win probability, compared with 51.7% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sport Club Dimona has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Sport Club Dimona

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Sport Club Dimona, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Sport Club Dimona

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Sport Club Dimona has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Sport Club Dimona

The combined recent performance profile favours Sport Club Dimona.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda = (0.0%)

Sport Club Dimona ↑ +0.14 (+8.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.