Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Herzliya

30 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

Hapoel Herzliya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 31.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.19 DRAW 26.6% 3.58 AWAY 29.8% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Hapoel Herzliya

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Hapoel Herzliya

Shots 13.3 · On target 7.8 Shots 15.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Hapoel Herzliya

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Hapoel Herzliya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Hapoel Herzliya

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Herzliya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi ↑ +0.09 (+4.0%)

Hapoel Herzliya ↑ +0.10 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.