Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

30 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Shimshon Tel Aviv

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 33.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.28 DRAW 25.7% 3.70 AWAY 32.5% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Shimshon Tel Aviv

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Shimshon Tel Aviv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shimshon Tel Aviv Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shimshon Tel Aviv ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon ↑ +0.18 (+6.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.