Hapoel Herzliya vs Tzeirey Tira

23 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.9 pp

Hapoel Herzliya

Tzeirey Tira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% 2.00 DRAW 28.6% 3.30 AWAY 24.2% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Hapoel Herzliya clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.1% win probability, compared with 47.2% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Herzliya has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Herzliya Tzeirey Tira

Shots 14.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Herzliya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Herzliya Tzeirey Tira

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Hapoel Herzliya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Herzliya Tzeirey Tira

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Herzliya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Herzliya = (0.0%)

Tzeirey Tira ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.