Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon vs Maccabi Ironi Sderot

23 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Maccabi Ironi Sderot

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 1.97 DRAW 27.0% 3.34 AWAY 27.3% 3.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Ironi Sderot has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Maccabi Ironi Sderot

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Maccabi Ironi Sderot

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Maccabi Ironi Sderot has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Maccabi Ironi Sderot

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Ironi Sderot.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon ↑ +0.12 (+6.5%)

Maccabi Ironi Sderot ↓ -0.29 (-8.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.