Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

30 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Hapoel Beit Shean

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% 2.38 DRAW 25.7% 3.72 AWAY 34.2% 2.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Beit Shean Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Beit Shean Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Hapoel Beit Shean has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Beit Shean Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Beit Shean ↑ +0.13 (+5.6%)

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye ↑ +0.09 (+3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.