Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

01 Oct 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 43.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% 3.10 DRAW 25.0% 3.81 AWAY 44.2% 2.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm ↑ +0.20 (+6.9%)

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel ↑ +0.06 (+2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.